Tag Archives: Skeptic

MY BATTLE TO CORRECT THE BAD SCIENCE BEHIND THE “CLIMATE CHANGE” FRENZY

A note about this blog site: I am writing a new update on the latest global warming/climate change news these days as the new administration in Washington gives climate skeptics control of the Federal Government agencies.  I am putting the latest item at the top, dating for the day it is posted.  My essay follows.  You can scroll down to the essay at any time.

(Updated 3-24-2017)

Fixing healthcare seems to be a huge hassle these days, but the debunking of the bad science of Climate Change/Global Warming is marching strongly ahead.

The House of Representatives Committee on Science, Space and Technology has scheduled a hearing it tittles “Climate Science: Assumptions, Policy Implications, and the Scientific Method” but what they are really doing is giving three of the great climate change skeptic scientists a platform to correct the wildly out of control distortion of climate science while bringing only one scientist who has made a living on horrible climate change studies.

That man is Michael Mann who manipulated tree ring samples among other things to come up with the

infamous “hockey stick graph”, a totally blatant effort to produce support for the failed theory about an impending man-made climate crisis. He has continued to be outspoken and hostile and very active in the Algorian campaign of silliness. This should be good.

 Here are some details:

Date: Wednesday, March 29, 2017 – 10:00am

Location:  2318 Rayburn House Office Building

Experts:

Dr. Judith Curry

President, Climate Forecast Applications Network; Professor Emeritus, Georgia Institute of Technology

Dr. John Christy

Professor and Director, Earth System Science Center, NSSTC, University of Alabama at Huntsville; State Climatologist, Alabama

Dr. Roger Pielke Jr.

Professor, Environmental Studies Department, University of Colorado

Dr. Michael Mann

Professor, Department of Meteorology and Atmospheric Science, Pennsylvania State University

 

Another thing that makes this Hearing interesting is that it includes 3 of the “Grijalva 7”, climate scientists who were placed under investigation by

Arizona Representative Raúl Grijalva, the top Democrat on the House Natural Resources Committee.  He asked universities of 7 different well known climate scientists who questioned climate change to turn over documents about sources of external funding for their research. He stated he believed they were funded by fossil fuel interests. The scientists all were quick to denounce Grijalva’s probe.

“I know with complete certainty that this investigation is a politically motivated ‘witch hunt’ designed to intimidate me (and others) and to smear my name,” Roger Pielke Jr., a professor at the University of Colorado’s Center for Science and Technology Policy Research, wrote on his blog.  Professor Curry took to her own blog to blast Grijalva’s request. “I don’t think anything good will come of this,” she wrote. “I anticipate that Grijalva will not find any kind of an undisclosed fossil fuel smoking gun from any of the 7 individuals under investigation.”

So now three of the seven will sit before Congressman Grijalva.

Curry also wrote on her blog: It is the first time I will be on the same panel as Michael Mann. This should be high theater for climate geeks.

Get your popcorn ready.  

I won’t miss a minute of this one.  It should be great.

(Updated 3-18-2017)

Family picture during the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meeting in Baden-Baden, Germany, March 17, 2017.

Wow.  Another big day in the battle to set aside the massive spending for Climate Change. In Germany, when the United States representatives met with other nations classified as the financial leaders of the world, one of the things they did was to “remove” from their joint statement the pledge to finance the fight against climate change.  This change was the outcome the United States had sought as a result of the election of  Donald Trump as President.  After all, during the campaign he called global warming a “hoax”.

Despite this change, the meeting was reported to have been friendly and non-confrontational.  But on many of the issues before the group, it was said to me 19 against one, the U.S. being the one.

 “This is my first G20, so what was in the past communiqué is not necessarily relevant from my standpoint,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said in the German resort town of Baden Baden. “I understand what the President’s desire is and his policies, and I negotiated them from here,” Mnuchin said. “I couldn’t be happier with the outcome.”

 The most important topic of the meeting wasn’t climate change but trade. Seeking to put “America first”, Trump has already pulled out of a key trade agreement and proposed a new tax on imports, arguing that certain trade relationships need to be reworked to make them fairer for U.S. workers. “We believe in free trade, we are in one of the largest markets in the world, we are one of the largest trading partners in the world, trade has been good for us, it has been good for other people,” Mnuchin said. The group meets again this Summer and spokespeople for the European nations hope to bring the United States more in line with their views then.

However, the communique for this meeting dropped a reference, used by the G20 last year, on the readiness to finance measures against climate change as agreed in Paris in 2015, because of opposition from the United States and Saudi Arabia.

Previously, on Thursday the Administration proposed a 31 percent cut to the Environmental Protection Agency’s budget as the White House seeks to eliminate climate change programs and trim initiatives to protect air and water quality.

Day after day, we climate skeptics are getting good news. What a change to the day after day news we have endured for the last decade.  Wow.

(Updated 3-17-2017)

White House: Climate funding is ‘a waste of your money’

The Trump Administration just keeps on making this a year of our dreams for we climate skeptics. On Thursday, the White House  defended a proposal to slash federal funding for climate change programs, calling it “a waste of your money.” 

“I think the president was fairly straightforward on that: We’re not spending money on that anymore,” Office of Management and Budget Director Mick Mulvaney said at a White House briefing on Thursday.

“We consider that to be a waste of your money to go out and do that. We consider that a basic tie to his campaign.”

 This came up when Mulvaney appeared before reports to answer questions about the President’s proposed budget. That “budget blueprint” proposes a 31 percent cut the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), including a $100 million cut to climate change programs under its purview. 

The budget proposal takes aim at climate change programming throughout the budget. It zeros out funding for State Department climate change programs, including American contributions to international climate change accounts, and the budget also reduces funding for advanced energy and renewable power research. 

 Environmentalists and greens have slammed the budget, saying lawmakers should not cut funding for climate change during a period of increasing global temperatures and the greenhouse gas emissions that cause that.

 Congress will ultimately write the appropriations bills that fund the government. Members of both parties have raised concerns about the level of EPA spending cuts in President Trump’s proposal, though many in the GOP support reducing funding for the agency’s regulatory effort on climate change. 

The President— who doubts what the media constantly refers to as “the scientific consensus on climate change” — often said in his presidential campaign that he would roll back much of the climate work advanced by President Obama. Beyond its budget request, the White House is still working on an executive order to undo several key climate rules from the previous administration.

 Each day is a great day for we scientists who know that the theory that carbon dioxide released into the atmosphere by the burning of fossil fuels will cause uncontrollable climate change has failed to verify in every computer model.  Carbon Dioxide is actually an essential gas for life on Earth and as in increases slightly it is making Earth greener while not having any significant impact on climate. Carbon Dioxide is actually less than one half of one percent of the atmosphere.  It has been much higher in the past long before man-kind burned fossil fuels.

(Updated 3-15-2017)

Bloomberg Politics has just posted an article on article about global warming/climate change in the new Federal Budget.  I have used it to write the following update.

It seems that President Obama knew the next Administration might want to cut the huge Federal Government’s spending on Global Warming/Climate Change so his aides spread the money throughout a wide list of government agencies and gave the programs hard to recognize names. How much money is involved? Well, the most recent estimate puts tab at $77 billion from 2008-2013. The idea was to make climate programs hard for Republicans in Congress to even find.  So President Donald Trump’s team will have to do a lot of digging into the details of each Departments budget categories to find the hidden climate change funding.

It seems President Obama’s goal was to get all agencies to take climate into account, and also make those programs hard to disentangle.  All of this information comes from former members of the administration. In some cases, “Much of the effort in the Obama administration was to mainstream climate change,” said Jesse Keenan, who worked on climate issues with the Department of Housing and Urban Development and now teaches at Harvard University. He said all federal agencies were required to incorporate climate-change plans into their operations.

The Obama administration’s approach will be tested by Trump’s first budget request to Congress, an outline of which has just been released.  But because all the programs were disguised by name it is impossible for us to determine how many have been identified and cut.

Last November President Trump promised to save $100 billion over eight years by cutting all federal climate spending. His budget will offer an early indication of the seriousness of that pledge — and whether his administration is able to identify programs that may have intentionally been called anything but climate-related.

The last time the Congressional Research Service estimated total federal spending on climate was in 2013. It concluded 18 agencies had climate-related activities, and calculated $77 billion in spending from fiscal 2008 through 2013 alone. But that figure could well be too low. The Obama administration didn’t always include “climate” in program names, said Alice Hill, director for resilience policy on Obama’s National Security Council.

“Given the relationship that existed with Congress on the issue of climate change, you will not readily find many programs that are entitled ‘climate change,’” Hill, who is now a research fellow at the Hoover Institution, said in an interview. At the Department of Defense, for example, anything with the word climate would have been “a target in the budget process,” she said.

 The range of climate programs is vast, stretching across the entire government.

The Department of Agriculture created “climate hubs” to help farmers and ranchers cope with extreme weather. The Department of Health and Human Services began analyzing the effects of climate change on occupational safety. The Bureau of Reclamation started a program called “West-Wide Climate Risk Assessments,” measuring changes to water supply and demand. The Bureau of Indian Affairs created the Tribal Climate Resilience Program. The Agency for International Development created a program to help “glacier-dependent mountain areas” deal with the risk of those glaciers melting.

In other cases, agencies expanded existing programs to account for global warming. In 2012, the Federal Highway Administration made climate-adaptation projects eligible for federal aid. Last year, the Department of Housing and Urban Development awarded $1 billion through its Community Development Block Grant program to projects protecting against climate change-related natural disasters.

Meanwhile, a handful of lesser-known offices saw their funding increase while Obama was in office. The budget for NASA’s Earth Science program increased 50 percent, to $1.8 billion. Funding for the U.S. Global Change Research Program, which is mandated by Congress to report every four years on the state of climate change, rose 45 percent to $2.6 billion. At the National Science Foundation, the geosciences program almost doubled to $1.3 billion.

Republicans noticed, and tried to force the administration to offer a tally of climate funding. Last December, senior House Republicans sent a letter to Obama’s budget director, demanding that his office report how much federal money had gone toward climate programs in fiscal years 2015 and 2016.

Any cuts may face opposition in Congress, as Democrats and some Republicans support the spending, especially that to help communities withstand floods, hurricanes or droughts associated with climate change. Wednesday, a group of 17 Republicans announced their support for climate science — and policy measures to address it.

“Budget cuts to programs — or elimination of entire agencies — designed to help stem the costs of climate change will only hurt ranchers, agriculture producers, and coastal communities already experiencing the impacts of this global challenge,” Christy Goldfuss, managing director of the Council on Environmental Quality in Obama’s White House, said by email.

 Some in Trump’s party now urge him to use his authority to find those programs, and take them apart.

“The Trump Administration needs to defund the entire apparatus of the climate change federal funding gravy train,” said Marc Morano, a former Republican staffer for the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee. “In order to dismantle the climate establishment, agencies and programs throughout the federal government need to be targeted.”

“The climate funding has spread to almost every aspect of the federal government with sometimes wacky results,” said Morano, who doubts global warming and runs the website climatedepot.com. He cited one example of a Department of Transportation query about the link between climate change and fatal car crashes.

Others argue that the spread of climate programs throughout the federal government simply reflects the evolving nature of the risk.

“It is irresponsible not to examine the possibilities and understand our sensitivity to them,” said Ed Link, a former director of research and development for the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers who led the forensic analysis of Hurricane Katrina’s effect on New Orleans. If federal agencies stop doing that work, he said by email, “shame on them.”

As you can see, the battle to correct the politicalization of Climate Change/Global warming science is going to be long and difficult.  But, at least, at last we have a President who is more-or-less on the side of we skeptics who know that the science is very clear: There is no significant man-made climate change now, has not been any in the past and no reason to fear any in the future.

Fight on.

(Updated 3-15-2017)

Every day is more exciting than the last for we climate change skeptics.  The Trump Administration is moving forward in one way and then another to end the climate change frenzy that has built up steadily over the last decade. For a Meteorologist who has studied the issue with great care for all these years and is absolutely certain there is no significant man-made global warming/climate change this is a time to rejoice. But, none the less, it is frustrating that each media report on the actions to bring the Environmental Protection Agency in line with the new Administration’s position reads as though Al Gore himself was the writer and editor.  All the stories include the phrase “scientific consensus that carbon dioxide is a powerful greenhouse gas” and mentions that “97% of scientists agree that anthropogenic global warming is a major problem.” I know that neither of these assertions is factual. The so-called survey that came up with the consensus and 97% was contrived to produce the desired result and was a total shame when examined fairly.  There is no major support and no consensus.

Now it reported that the Donald Trump’s administration is preparing to release a wide-ranging executive order to reduce the role that climate change plays in policy decisions. This action will alter how U.S. agencies weigh regulations on a broad array of industries, including drilling, coal mining and auto manufacturing to name a few. Bloomberg News reports that the executive order will instruct the Environmental Protection Agency and other agencies to overhaul their use of the “social cost of carbon,” an Obama-era policy that seeks to quantify potential economic damage from climate change for the purposes of drafting regulation. White House spokeswoman Kelly Love declined to discuss the timing of an executive order on energy. “We have nothing to announce at this time,” she said.

Former President Barack Obama set up the current rule that sets the current cost of carbon in policy decisions at $36 per ton with steady increases in each year until it hits $50 in 2030. The Trump order would direct regulators to use a “discount rate” that might actually eliminate that cost.

The E.P.A. under Mr. Obama took the position that the impact of emissions on the earth’s climate can take several years to appear. A White House source has told Bloomberg the order may be an initial step to ultimately phasing out the carbon evaluation entirely.  The executive order could be issued as soon as this week, the source said, and may include other energy-specific measures, like a requirement for the EPA to conduct a review of regulations that could harm energy production.

Reuters and others have reported previously that Trump planned to target Obama-era green regulations, including a federal coal mining ban and an initiative forcing states to cut carbon emissions.  The Department of Interior under Obama had issued a moratorium on coal leasing on federal land in 2015 as it sought to review the program and evaluate whether the government adequately priced the value of coal extracted from public lands on behalf of taxpayers. The Clean Power Plan was Obama’s centerpiece initiative to combat climate change, requiring states to slash emissions of carbon dioxide. But it was never implemented due to legal challenges launched by several Republican states.

The new head of the Environmental Protection Agency, Scott Pruitt, said last week he is not convinced that carbon dioxide from human activity is the main driver of climate change and said he wants Congress to weigh in on whether CO2 is a harmful pollutant that should be regulated.

Much of this information is from a news report by Bloomberg’s David Shepardson.

I am so excited I can hardly sleep.  That is an amazing turn of events for an old man.  Lol

(Updated 3-9-2017)

The situation is very exciting at the Environmental Protection Agency these days.

Scott Pruitt, the new Trump appointed Administrator of the E.P.A., has manned the top positions within the agency with skeptics of climate change who are intent on rolling back environmental regulations that are based on the battling Climate Change.  These rules are based on the failed scientific claim that mankind’s use of fossil fuels to power our civilization is releasing carbon dioxide into the atmosphere which will lead to catastrophic climate change.

Mr. Pruitt has drawn heavily from the staff of his friend and fellow Oklahoma Republican,

Senator James Inhofe, long known as Congress’s most prominent skeptic of climate science. A former Inhofe chief of staff, Ryan Jackson, will be Mr. Pruitt’s chief of staff. Another former Inhofe staff member, Byron Brown, will serve as Mr. Jackson’s deputy. Andrew Wheeler, a former Inhofe chief of staff, is a finalist to be Mr. Pruitt’s deputy, although he requires confirmation to the position by the Senate.

This sets up the E.P.A. as an agency where the leadership is fundamentally at odds with the career officials, staff scientists and employees who carry out the agency’s missions. “He’s the most different kind of E.P.A. administrator that’s ever been,” said

Steve J. Milloy, a member of the E.P.A. transition team who runs the website JunkScience.com, which debunks climate change. “He’s not coming in thinking E.P.A. is the greatest thing since sliced bread. Quite the opposite.” 

A pair of Trump campaigners from Washington State are also heading into senior positions at the E.P.A. Don Benton, a former Washington state senator who headed President Trump’s state campaign, will be the agency’s senior liaison with the White House. Douglas Ericksen, a current Washington state senator, is being considered as the regional administrator of the E.P.A.’s Pacific Northwest office. As a state senator, Mr. Ericksen has been active in opposing efforts to pass a state-level climate change law taxing carbon pollution. Last month, he invited

Tony Heller, a climate denialist who blogs under the pseudonym Steven Goddard, to address a Washington State Senate committee on the costs of climate change policy. Mr. Heller’s blog says “global warming is the biggest fraud in science history.”

 Another transition official under consideration by Mr. Pruitt for a permanent position is David Kreutzer, a senior research fellow in energy economics and climate change at the conservative Heritage Foundation who has publicly praised the benefits of increasing carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. That view directly challenges the Al Gore and cohort’s widely publicized and media accepted theory that increased carbon dioxide traps heat and contributes to the dangerous warming of the planet.

 This week, Mr. Trump is expected to sign an executive order directing Mr. Pruitt to begin the legal process of unwinding Mr. Obama’s E.P.A. regulations aimed at shutting down coal-fired power plants.

 Now, if only the President can manage to step aside from his daughter’s Algorian position and let Mr. Pruitt and his team of skeptics guide the agency on a 180 degree turn in basic position so that the bad science of climate change will eventually die away. Oh, what a wonderful time that will be for we scientists who know that there is no significant man-made climate change now, has not been any in the past and no reason to fear any in the future.

(Updated 2-24-2017)

bump-in-the-road

There is a major bump in our road to Correctionville, the town where we will correct the bad science about increased carbon dioxide upsetting the climate of Earth. Darn, darn, darn. This is a tough one. It is a huge bump we will call Bump Ivanka.

ivanka-trump

Coming between and man and his daughter is a super tough event.  I am concerned this is where Fatherly love “Trumps” science.  Man, oh man, Boy of boy, OMG this is one huge bump.

NEW YORK, NY - MAY 04: Jared Kushner and Ivanka Trump attend the "China: Through The Looking Glass" Costume Institute Benefit Gala at the Metropolitan Museum of Art on May 4, 2015 in New York City. (Photo by Larry Busacca/Getty Images)

It seems that President’s Trump’s daughter (and her husband) pushed the nation’s Chief Executive to get rid of a reference to the global climate change accord known as the Paris agreement in an executive order he intends to sign.  The Wall Street Journal reports that Ivanka Trump talked President Donald Trump out of mentioning the deal in directives that take aim at his predecessor’s environmental regulations. Trump and hubby Jerad Kushner moved to Washington from their liberal home state of New York to be close to Ivanka’s father.  Kushner took a job at the White House as a senior advisor, and Ivanka has been attending her father’s business roundtables. She reportedly has been positioning herself as a bridge between her father’s conservative administration and liberal elites, who’s circles she still runs in. Ivanka wants climate change to be another issue in HER White House portfolio, a source close to her told the website Politico in early December.

gore-at-trump-tower

A couple of weeks after this election, she brought former Vice President Al Gore to Trump Tower to meet with her father. ‘It’s no secret that Ivanka Trump is very committed to having a climate policy that makes sense for our country and for our world,’ Gore told MSNBC after meeting with Ivanka and her father. ‘That was certainly evident in the conversation that I had with her before the conversation with the president-elect,’ Gore said. ‘I appreciate the fact that she’s very concerned about this.

Previously President Trump has claimed that climate change is a hoax.

priebus-and-trump

Now Chief of Staff Reince Priebus has said that the president still believes that ‘most of it is a bunch of bunk. Trump campaigned against the 2015 Paris climate accord that was backed by the governments of 200 nations, including the Obama administration. Since winning the presidential election, though, he’s said he has an ‘open mind’ to it.  Clearly his daughter has reached Dad.

rex-tillerson

Secretary of State Rex Tillerson suggested at his confirmation hearing last month that he doesn’t believe that the United States should immediately get out of it.

‘The president-elect, as part of his priority in campaigning, was “America First.” So there are important considerations as to when we commit to such accords,’ he said.

Continuing, Tillerson also stated, that ‘it’s important for America to remain engaged in those discussions so we are at the table, expressing a view and understanding what the impacts may be on the American people and American competitiveness.’

sean-spicer

White House Press Secretary Sean Spicer declined to say at his press briefing Thursday if the president wants to pull out. ‘I think I will leave that to Secretary Tillerson. That’s a conversation that he’s having with him as far as where we are on that,’ Spicer said.

The Trump administration is expected to amend the Environmental Protection Agency order that brings the United States into alignment with the agreement.

The so-called carbon rule commits the US to a 32 percent cut in carbon emissions from 2005 emission levels by by 2030.  A Trump transition official whose expertise is in energy told reporters earlier this year, according to the Wall Street Journal, that Trump would withdraw from the deal for that reason.

myron-ebell

‘How can you remain a member of the Paris treaty if your commitment isn’t even close to reaching it?’ Myron Ebell of the Competitive Enterprise Institute said.

But now when it was time for the President to take a formal act to end the totally unscientifically justified Carbon Credits silliness and step away from the contrived carbon dioxide is a pollutant that will ruin the climate of Earth distortion of scientific facts, it appears it will be Daughter over scientific logic that rules the day. This is no speed bump, no little bouncy moment on the road to Correctionville.  This is trouble.  I am sitting here in the back seat yelling

http://www.dreamstime.com/royalty-free-stock-photos-image31368648

Help.”  

(Updated 2-20-2017)

A Miami News “paper” website published a new climate change scare article on February 19th.

miami-new-times

The writer must really, really believe that Miami is going to be flooded by a rapidly rising Atlantic Ocean and millions of people there and elsewhere will have to evacuate to higher ground.  And, he clearly thinks that those of us who skeptical of this prediction are using dishonest scientific technics when we shot back that this ocean flood of coastal cities is not going to happen.  He begins his report with an admonition:

No cherry-picked scientific studies can refute this fact: If the world doesn’t reduce the carbon it’s dumping into the atmosphere, Miami will drown. The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers projects the seas could rise more than five feet by the year 2100. The flood would force millions of South Floridians to flee their homes.

miami-is-flooded 

The stimulus behind his article is revealed in the next sentence:

 This past Friday, however, the U.S. Senate effectively announced it’s cool with Miami becoming a modern-day Atlantis. Senators — including Florida’s own “not a scientist” Marco Rubio — confirmed President Trump’s climate-change-bashing choice for Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) head, Scott Pruitt.

So this journalists position is very clear.  He does not want to hear from we skeptics because he has concluded we use cherry picked science and he is very upset with President Trump’s moves to reject the climate change frenzy. And when the Congress gave the President some support by approving his nomination for Administrator of the EPA the writer simply flipped out and wrote this one sided “news” story.  In his article he states the scientific view he accepts as valid and gets nasty about Scott Pruitt:

Let’s revisit just how bad a disaster this could be for South Florida.

At the moment, China and the United States emit the two greatest amounts of carbon into the air. Though China has increasingly warmed (no pun intended) to the idea of fighting climate change, Pruitt represents a step back into the climate-science Stone Age.

The media tends to understate how quickly humans might lock themselves into catastrophic levels of warming. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) — the United Nations body devoted to fighting global warming — has laid out exactly how much carbon dioxide humans could pump into the air before the world would permanently warm to nightmarish levels.

So you can tell by the above paragraph that this writer has totally accepted the theory that CO2 (carbon dioxide) is the culprit that will make Earth unlivable including the sea level rise that will flood Miami. The increase of CO2 in the atmosphere is the result of our breathing and use of fossil fuels to power our civilization by providing heating and air conditioning, power for our smart phones and computers, lights and cars and airplanes and all our food production and manufactured products to make our daily lives long, comfortable and happy.

He goes on the quote the dire predictions of the scientists who work for the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Though a two-degree rise in global temperatures sounds harmless, it isn’t: A two-degree rise could destroy food crops, wreck many animal and human habitats, and, most important for Miami, subject millions of people to increased coastal flooding and water shortages.  With Pruitt at the helm, Obama’s “Climate Action Plan” is almost certainly toast.

The writer goes on from there about the horrible consequences of having President Trump, Scott Pruitt at the EPA and a Republican Congress for the next four years.

jerry-lanneli

He is named Jerry Iannelli who is listed as a Miami New Times’ daily-news reporter. He graduated with honors from Temple University in Philadelphia, where he developed a reputation for pestering college officials until they cursed at him. He then earned his master’s degree in journalism from Columbia University.

 This article makes very clear to me that our battle to correct the bad science behind the climate change frenzy is a long way from over.

landing-on-the-beach

We have landed on the opponent’s beach but it will take months if not years of battle after battle to regain our homeland.  

 As for the coastal flooding matter, A recent study by scientists in Germany, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom, that was published in “Nature Geoscience” concludes there is no “scientific consensus” to suggest the rate of the seas’ rise will accelerate dangerously. The notion of the seas rising, swamping coastal cities, and creating havoc is the stuff of science fiction, not science. This is why spending millions or billions on the assertions of some who have a real stake in keeping the public frightened is a very bad idea. At the center of the global warming scare campaign is the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Its most recent report said that “no long-term acceleration of sea level has been identified using 20th-century data alone” but that does not discourage the IPCC from forecasting an increase due to global warming.  

 nils-axel-morner-quotes-2

Who can you believe? One such person is Dr. Nils-Axel Morner, the former chair of the Paleogeophysics and Geodynamics department at Stockholm University in Sweden. He is the past president (1999-2003) of the International Union for Quaternary Research Commission on Sea Level Changes and Coastal Evolution. He has been studying sea level and its effects on coastal areas for more than 35 years.  

Dr. Morner acknowledges that “sea level was indeed rising from, let us say, 1850 to 1930-40. And that rise had a rate in the order of 1 millimeter per year. (1 millimeter is about .04 of an inch).

ruler-one-inch

It is tiny, tiny amount. Not surprisingly Dr. Morner is very critical of the IPCC and its headline-grabbing doomsday predictions. He scorns the IPCC’s claim to “know” that facts about sea level rise, noting that real scientists “are searching for the answer” by continuing to collect data “because we are field geologists; they are computer scientists. So all this talk that sea level is rising, this stems from the computer modeling, not from observations. The observations don’t find it!”

A recent paper reviewed by CO2 Science finds that sea levels have risen from 2002-2011 at a rate of only 1.7 millimeters per year over the past 110 years, the equivalent of 6.7 inches per century. This is close to Dr. Morner’s assertion that, at most, there has been a rate of increase that tops out at 1.1 millimeter per year. The review concluded that there is no evidence of any human influence on sea levels.

 My conclusion is that it’s not the sea level rise you should worry about. It is the rising national debt and the deficit, to name the worst two problems I feel the new President faces. 

(Updated 2-19-2017)

 

The new Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency Scott Pruitt sat down Thursday with Kimberley A. Strassel of the Wall Street Journal for his first interview since his November nomination. She writes that he spent most of the time waxing enthusiastic about all the good his agency can accomplish once he refocuses it on its statutorily defined mission: working cooperatively with the states to improve water and air quality. Of course, I wanted him to say that the first thing he is going to do cut off the global warming frenzy and eliminate the carbon dioxide is a pollutant ruling.  But, he was a lot broader minded and far too clever to stir the pot with those statements.  If he had said what I wanted to hear the result would have been a torrent of media and political screaming.  While that would have been fine with me, I guess he is more clever and reserved. After all he is lawyer and former Attorney General of a state. 

Well, finally the interview got to the global warming topic and here is Ms. Strassel’s paragraph on that:

Will the EPA regulate carbon dioxide? Mr. Pruitt says he won’t prejudge the question. “There will be a rule-making process to withdraw those rules, and that will kick off a process,” he says. “And part of that process is a very careful review of a fundamental question: Does EPA even possess the tools, under the Clean Air Act, to address this? It’s a fair question to ask if we do, or whether there in fact needs to be a congressional response to the climate issue.” Some might remember that even President Obama believed the executive branch needed express congressional authorization to regulate CO 2 —that is, until Congress said “no” and Mr. Obama turbocharged the EPA.

Ms. Strassel also wrote: Mr. Pruitt defies the stereotype of the fierce conservative who wants to destroy the agency he runs. Nonetheless, he is likely to encounter considerable hostility. The union that represents the EPA’s 15,000-strong bureaucracy urged its members to besiege their senators with calls this week asking them to reject Mr. Pruitt’s appointment. (The effort didn’t have much effect: The vote was nearly along party lines, with only two Democrats and one Republican breaking ranks.) These bureaucrats have the ability to sabotage his leadership. That’s what happened to Mrs. Gorsuch. She went to war with the bureaucracy, and the bureaucracy won. Mr. Pruitt plans to overhaul the agency’s procedure for producing scientific studies and cost-benefit analyses. “The citizens just don’t trust that EPA is honest with these numbers,” he says. “Let’s get real, objective data, not just do modeling. Let’s vigorously publish and peer-review science. Let’s do honest cost-benefit work. We need to restore the trust.”

Here is my assessment of this article:

This interview like everything else in the early weeks of the Trump administration illustrates how difficult it is going to be for the outsider President and his team to reform and in some cases dismantle the horrid, strongly entrenched Federal Government, it’s bought-and-paid-for politicians and the 100s of thousands of bureaucrats that support and work for them.  It is a huge challenge.  The election didn’t mean victory, it was simply an invasion of the government.

For the record Ms. Strassel writes the Journal’s Potomac Watch column. 

(Updated 2-17-2017)

Scott Pruitt has be approved by a vote of the Senate and sworn in as the new Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency.  This is a major victory for we climate skeptics.  He is not outspoken in his manner, but I have no doubt he is a full-flegged skeptic of significant man-made climate change. I believe he will rather quickly clean out the climate change promoters within the EPA and that the President will direct him via Executive Order to end the EPA ruling that Carbon Dioxide (CO2) is a pollutant. There should be a series of important actions within the EPA to abolish the huge team that Al Gore build of the last 20 years.  The other side will be screaming, protesting and threatening reprisals and the media will be aflame for the next two or three weeks.  What a big time development.

Hooray

(Up dated February 16, 2017)

Wow.  A new Congressman from the Florida Panhandle has introduced rather powerful bill in Congress.  It is H.R.861 which terminates the Environmental Protection Agency.

matt-gaetz

He is Congressman Matt Gaetz and his idea is to leave environmental protection to the states. The new EPA abolition bill is at a very early stage, and has to cross a number of hurdles before making it to the desk of President Trump. But returning power and responsibility for clean air and water to the states, reducing federal interference in everyday affairs, is likely to be a very attractive proposition for President Trump and his supporters. One of the commenters on the website Watts Up With That, Pat Frank, gives some perspective to the issue when he writes: “The EPA has been enforcing the Clean Water Act to put unbearable regulatory and financial pressures on farmers and ranchers, and quite deliberately so. It’s ethically, though not legally, criminal. The regulations have, for decades, been the pry-bar of legal terrorism by green NGOs and their bureaucratic fellow-travelers to advance their plan to force people off their land, and return the countryside to a state of sacred green purity. Returning regulatory authority to the states will, in many cases, almost immediately remove those burdens. It will allow citizens of those states a chance to redress their injury, and to recover their rights through the vote and through legal challenge.” Another commenter says “It would put thousands of Democrats out of work.”  In any case, word is that President Trump will issue several Executive Orders overturning the extremely controversial climate change CO2 rulings of the EPA as soon as Scott Pruitt is sworn in as EPA Administrator which should happen Friday or Saturday. The battle continues.

(Updated Wednesday, February 15, 2017)

The battle to correct the bad science of Climate change is a long way from over.  A solid reminder of this hit me between the eyes when I watched the Tuesday evening Water’s World segment on the O’Reilly Factor on Fox News Channel.  Waters was in Central Park following the recent New York snow storm talking to people about global warming.  The primary, strong response he heard was that climate change is a major issue, particularly that rising ocean levels are going to flood New York City.  The people he talked with seemed to genuinely believe the threat is serious. I know the main stream media has carried many reports on this issue but I somehow thought that people did not take it too seriously.  Well, I was wrong.

First of all, let me correct the oft reported “fake news” about ocean water levels rising.  Essentially they are rising now less than in previous decades and the rate of rise is so slight it would take hundreds of years to create any significant flooding.  Of course the oceans have been gradually rising ever since the Ice Age ended 18 thousand years ago as the melting of the giant ice sheets that covered much of Earth slowly melted.  Now we have some glaciers remaining and ice at the poles and on Iceland and Greenland.  Since the North Pole Ice is in water, any melting there does not cause rising.  The remaining glaciers do not include enough ice to create a problem if they all melt.  The alarmist climate change crowd are more or less constantly reporting melting at the South Pole.  The truth is, however, the ice extent and thickness there is near record high for the hundred years or so we have any meaningful records. There are reports every month or two about Greenland ice melting, but the truth is our records are not very long and our measurements are not very accurate.  New studies are beginning to get a good handle on Greenland ice, but the stories are all topped with scare headlines and structured as though “the sky is falling”.  The truth is, while there is seasonal melting and refreezing, and snowpack changing to ice and eventually calving into the ocean there is no cause for alarm. 

The bottom line is this, sea level, according to world-wide measurements, has been rising at about 6 inches every hundred years.  But it is very difficult to measure accurately because of the tides and wave action and particularly because of settling land masses.  We tend to think of the continents and islands as being solid, firm, never-changing features of Earth.  Certainly they, for the most part, have not changed an iota in our lifetimes.  But when you consider the bigger picture you learned back in school that the continents once separated and moved and islands have formed from time to time.  Well the fact is that coastal areas are, at places, quit unstable, semi floating and prone to rising and sinking and being locally altered by the crashing storm waves.  And many of these islands are very unstable geologically and are sinking steadily into the ocean.  The scaremongering media tells us this is the result of sea level rise and global warming/climate change

Bottom line, the threat of coastal flooding caused by rising ocean water levels is not real.  It is “fake news”, to use the phrase of the day.

And, oh yes, the most important point, there is absolutely no proof of any theory about how the activities of mankind’s use of fossil fuels has anything to do with global warming.  This is the basic piece of bad science that I have spent years attempting to correct and I will not stop trying so long as I am vertical.

(New information as of February 9th)

When NOAA (National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Agency) was preparing the datasets of World temperatures for the Obama Administration to present at the key UN Paris climate conference in 2016

thomas-karl

Thomas Karl, Director of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s National Centers for Environmental Information, constantly held his thumb on the scale pushing for, and often insisting on, decisions that maximized warming and minimized documentation. One result was that the datasets were probably not archived. Dr. John Bates who made this bombshell of a revelation from inside this key US Federal Agency recently retired from NOAA. He adds that he has not been able to confirm that the politically modified data was gone for good but says he learned that the computer used to process the software had suffered a complete failure, leading to a tongue-in-cheek joke by some who had worked on it that the failure was deliberate to ensure the result could never be replicated. This amazing inside info-bomb was revealed by

JUDDITH CURFRY

Dr. Judith Curry when she was interviewed by a small British radio station in early February. She was discussing the revelations of a long time contact of hers, John Bates, who has revealed information we felt we knew before but never had confirmed.

She also spoke strongly about the politicalization of climate science. She said this has been driven by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change process that has robbed scientists of the opportunity to openly explore the legitimate, extremely important and yet unaddressed issues of how natural climate change drivers impact the earth’s climate. She says the IPCC never bothered to do the “hard work” to determine how these natural climate variation affected the climate change but instead merely relied on “expert judgement thus neglecting any opportunity to advance climate science in this very important area. During the broadcast Dr. Curry noted that climate models such as those utilized by UN  IPCC which attempt to connect climate impacts of human action in many respects represent nothing more than “self fulfilling” prophecies from a politically driven agency that has “lost objectivity”.

Dr. Curry also discussed the recent data debacle at NOAA (National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Agency) which is supposed to create and maintain the preeminent data base of the temperatures covering the entire world. She said that NOAA has been extremely careless and incompetent in handling it’s temperature data.

Data Science,Climate and satellites Consultant John J Bates at his home in Arden North Carolina Picture Chris Bott
Data Science,Climate and satellites Consultant John J Bates at his home in Arden North Carolina Picture Chris Bott

John Bates, who provided the information about data manipulation is a very solid climate scientist who received his Ph.D. in Meteorology from the University of Wisconsin-Madison in 1986. Post Ph.D., he spent his entire career at NOAA, until his retirement in 2016.  He spent the last 14 years of his career at NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center (now NCEI) as a Principal Scientist, where he served as a Supervisory Meteorologist until 2012. He received the NOAA Administrator’s Award 2004 for “outstanding administration and leadership in developing a new division to meet the challenges to NOAA in the area of climate applications related to remotely sensed data”. He was awarded a U.S. Department of Commerce Gold Medal in 2014 for visionary work in the acquisition, production, and preservation of climate data records (CDRs).  He is currently President of John Bates Consulting Inc.

This story confirms the report that I put on TV in a documentary I did in San Diego in 2012.  Here is the key segment from that TV report:

Meanwhile: Another great big step to the battle to end the “Climate Change is going to destroy our civilization” crisis finally happened the last week in January thanks to the Trump Administration.  The big step was headlined in the news reports this way:

(Posted February 4, 2017)

The future of NOAA, the world’s largest repository of climate data, is now in the hands of a climate-change denier

What that headline means is the National Weather Service and the National Climatic Data Center, both Departments within the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Agency of the United States, are now under the control of the new Administration.  And all of those units are part of the Commerce Department. The man who instituted the change is Kenneth Happala, who serves on the transition team for the US Department of Commerce.  Happala is a hero of mine, a genuine Climate Change Skeptic.  His presence has sent chills through the bodies of thousands of Climate Change promoters who work within the Departments he now controls.

kenneth-happala

He is the Executive Vice President of the Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP), regularly contributes to “The Week That Was,” a weekly SEPP update on climate news, and most importantly Mr. Happala is an endorser of the Manhattan Declaration on Climate Change which declares, among other points, that: “there is no convincing evidence that CO2 emissions from modern industrial activity has in the past, is now, or will in the future cause catastrophic climate change.”  Mr. Happala is also a Climate Expert for the Heartland Institute.

Mr. Happala has written: “Carbon dioxide is a necessary food for green plants, thus necessary for life on this planet as we generally recognize it. As discussed in the second report (of the IPCC of the UN) thousands of experiments and observations show that virtually all food crops and green plants thrive better in an atmosphere enriched in carbon dioxide and better resist stress such as draught, or insect attacks. Contrary to EPA claims, Carbon dioxide enrichment, condemned by these regulations, is a benefit to agriculture, humanity, and the planet.” “The EPA has failed to present any compelling physical evidence that man’s emissions of Greenhouse Gases caused the 20th Century warming. Instead, it has relied on the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and its faulty computer models that are biased, obsolete, and wrong. [It’s] past time [to end the scare and] stop the madness of wasting great sums of money on EPA’s imaginary threat.”  National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is home to the world’s largest repository of climate data.

Haapala will help choose NOAA’s leadership once the Senate votes on billionaire investor Wilbur Ross, Trump’s choice for secretary of commerce.

Now both the EPA and NOAA are under the control of Climate Change Skeptics.  The skeptics offense is on the attack.  Yeah.

trump-executive-order

Of course all of this is the result of electing Donald Trump as our new President.  He is roaring into action.

john-colemans-essay-on-global-warming

(Posted first December 10, 2010, but updated frequently since)

By John Coleman

“Climate Change is happening.” You bet it is. The climate of planet  Earth has been constantly changing for as long as we have any records. Look at the chart below.

ANCIENT CO2 AND TEMPS

ANCIENT CO2 AND TEMPS

This chart of data obtained from Ice Cores collected near the South Pole displays the longest known record of the climate of Earth. It goes back 400,000 years. Just look as the constant changes in temperature and atmospheric Carbon Dioxide. The changes range from very large to rather small. The four big dips are Ice Ages and the four big peaks are what we know as Interglacial Periods. The ice ages are very hostile to human life. It is during the warm periods that life flourishes. We are very lucky to be living our lives during one of the warmer periods of Earth’s history. Clearly the civilized activities of mankind including the burning of fossil fuels had nothing to do with these historic changes, large and small. After all, our modern times are covered by only the last little squiggle on the right hand side of the chart. Can you look at this chart and identify Earth’s normal climate? Certainly we can compute the average, but is average the same as normal? I don’t think so.

CHART LAST 11 THOUSAND YEARS

Now let’s look at a chart of the last 11,000 years since the last Ice Age ended and we moved into this Interglacial Period. This is the period in which civilization has developed and flourished. The most difficult time was the little Ice Age from about 1550 to about 1800. Look at the tiny, little warm period on the extreme right hand side of the chart. It is during this period that our civilization began to make extensive use of fossil fuels for heating, cooling, electrical generation and to power internal combustion and eventually jet engines. Please note that this current warm spell looks no different than the others during the last 11,000 years.

Now let’s look at a chart of the last 1,000 years.

CHART LAST 1000 YEARS

The Medieval Optimum was the period in which the nations of Europe grew and prospered and many of the great European cities were founded and flourished. It is important to note that it was much warmer back then than it is now. There is nothing exceptional about the current warm period. Note that changes such as the Medieval Warm Spell and the Little Ice Age come fairly often and still smaller swings in climate are constantly occurring.

Now a chart of the modern times.

CHART OF CO2 ERA RISE ONLY 1.8 DEGREES

This chart is used these days by climate alarmist to show the warming and increase in carbon dioxide in the age of fossil fuels. When you haven’t seen the previous charts, this one looks rather ominous. However, when it is put in perspective by the previous charts, it does not constitute a dramatic departure from the natural pattern at all. And, when it is carefully examined, it is far short of alarming. First of all, the warming from 1880 to today is less than 1.5 degrees, hardly dramatic and very much in keeping with the gradual warming pattern since the end of the last Ice Age. Secondly, despite a continuous increase in the carbon dioxide, there was actually a forty year period of steady temperatures from 1940 to 1980. And the chart ends the same year the rise ends.

Now look at the chart of the last twenty years.

17years9months

Temperatures are in another prolonged pause. There has been no warming for over 18 years. Now look at this chart:

TEMPS AND CO2 DISCONNECT

TEMPS AND CO2 DISCONNECT

This chart clearly shows the disconnection between temperatures and atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) since 1996. The temperatures stopped warming but the CO2 continues to rise. This lack of correlation between carbon dioxide and temperature is very significant. That’s because the entire global warming/climate change alarmist case is based on the theory that CO2 is a powerful greenhouse gas and will drive temperatures dramatically warmer. Let me emphasize this because it is the failed theory that is the basis of the entire global warming/climate change scare campaign. The alarmists say an increase in CO2 will cause a huge spike in temperatures and that will lead to all the other dire consequences they predict.

COMPUTER MODELS VS TEMPS

Over the last thirty years, dozens of climate scientists have worked at refining this CO2 greenhouse gas theory and have created climate models in computers to predict the rise in temperatures. They structured the models to match the previous temperature pattern starting back about 1975. But as time passed, and the models’ moved from the past to the future, the forecasts don’t go well, to put it mildly. Over time a significant disconnect between actual temperatures and the predictions develops. Couple the disconnection in the models’ predictions and the failure of the actual temperatures to react to a continuing CO2 build-up and you must conclude the CO2 greenhouse theory is not valid. It is a totally failed theory. And it seems to me that ought to be the end of the climate change alarmism campaign. But, alas it rolls on non-stop. Why is that?

Three reasons stand out: Stubbornness, politics and money.

It’s never easy to admit you are wrong. Your personal pride, how you are regarded by friends, colleagues and family and the setback in your professional status all contribute to stubbornness. In climate science, a scientist who admits his theory is wrong faces loose of funding, position and a professional future. It seems to me that at this point, dozens of climate scientists are just too stubborn to admit the CO2 greenhouse gas global warming theory has failed.

As for the political reason, it showed up dramatically in the New York Times exit poll following the November 2014 election.

EXIT POLL

My investigative Journalism uncovered the details of how global warming became a political issue. Here is that story.

A great scientist named Roger Revelle theorized about carbon dioxide being a significant greenhouse gas in a 1957 research paper. He then lectured about this paper to his class at Harvard University in 1962. A student in that class named Al Gore adopted the theory as his “cause”. He wrote a book about it and used it to win an election to become a United States Senator from Tennessee. In the Senate he helped to establish Federal Government funding for global warming research grants. Gore wrote a second book on the topic “An Inconvenient Truth” and worked with Hollywood supporters to turn that book into a movie.

GORE MOVIE ONE

The movie won an Oscar. The books, funding and movie caught the attention of a bureaucrat at the United Nations. That bureaucrat, named Maurice Strong, set out then to establish the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. As a result the number of research papers on global warming multiplied. News releases about the papers resulted in the media producing a continuing string of news reports about “the sky is falling” and global warming became a “cause celeb”.

PEACE PRIZE

It all peaked when Mr. Gore and the UNIPCC were jointly awarded the Nobel Peace prize. The U.N. continues to hold conferences and publish reports and the Democrat Party has adopted global warming as a platform issue. The science has been totally overwhelmed by politics and become a political issue.

Now, consider the biggest driving force of all behind the global warming/climate change frenzy: money. Never underestimate the power of money. The research funding for global warming from the United States Federal Government has built-up through the years. It is now nearly 5 billion dollars ($5,000,000,000) a year.

money-flow

If you are a research scientist or manage a research institution/ organization or a department in a University or even if you manage an activist environmental group, you want and need some of that money to fund your career. The funds are only being granted to those who support the climate change theory. As a result global warming alarmism has become a well-funded industry. Not only are our tax dollars funding a mountain of research papers, but now the government funding to “solve” the climate crisis has spread out and now flows in many directions. There is funding for Ethanol gasoline and greatly increased corn production. And, there are tax breaks for solar and wind projects. And there are direct government subsidies and grants to pay for a multitude of projects to counteract the threat of CO2 induced warming. At this point all of those expenditure add up to an amazing 16 billion dollars ($16,000,000,000) a year of tax money. So while the science behind the climate change has failed, the government actions to counter it continue to grow.

It seems to me that while they have all been benefiting in many ways from the climate change frenzy, scientists, the media, environmentalists, bureaucrats and politicians have all been thinking about climate in a wrong way. They seem to have been thinking that there is a normal climate and it is what the climate was when mankind began to use fossil fuels. They have been positioning the climate debate to tell us that it is our responsibility to return the climate to be exactly as it was then. But the climate at that point in history was no more stable or noteworthy or desirable than it was before or since. It seems to me that there is no such thing as the normal climate. There is no normal extent of ice at the poles. There is no normal amount ice in the mountain glaciers. There is no normal sea level height. There is no normal number of tornadoes or hurricanes. Droughts, heat waves, cold snaps, blizzards and ice storms increase and decrease irregularly over time. I feel it is wrong to set the parameters of the “normal climate”. It may blow your mind to learn that the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Agency and its National Weather Service simply use the average of the last 30 years as “normal” climate. So what is being touted as normal climate now is no more than what it has been lately.

Next allow me to make an observation that will surprise most people, particularly those who have followed my climate comments in the past. I know that there several instances of man-made climate change. Some of these have been occurring for at least 200 years and are still occurring today. But here is where I see the situation far differently than the climate alarmists. The changes I see as a result of mankind’s activities are local and regional and not of global significance. They are not irreversible and have little to do with our use of fossil fuels and producing an exhaust of carbon dioxide (CO2). Here are some climate changes that are resulting from our civilization:

URBAN HEAT ISLAND

Urban Heat Islands: The heat released into the atmosphere by the cluster of concrete, asphalt and steel and thousands of heat emitting smokestacks and the clustering of hundreds of thousands or even millions of warm human beings does produce very significant localized warming of the atmosphere.  This is particularly obvious in major northern cities on winter nights. In Chicago, for example, the low temperatures on a winter night might range from 32 degrees in the heart of the city to 20 in the suburbs and 10 in the surrounding farm country.  That warming is localized, mostly seasonable and not a threat in any way to climate of Earth.  It is not a result of the CO2 in the air and will not be counteracted by carbon taxes or abatement.

Similarly there is increased humidity in irrigated areas cities where we import water and drier climate in the regions from which we are exporting the water to cities. These effects are real and measureable, but are not a threat to the climate of Earth and are in no way related to the increase in CO2 in the atmosphere from the burning of fossil fuels.

OWENS VALLEY

The Owens Valley in California, pictured above, is a prime example of this category of man-made climate change.  It once was a beautiful and bountiful green farming valley fed by a river of water that flowed off of the Sierra Nevada Mountains to the west.  But the city of Los Angles bought out the valley and exported all that water the nation’s second largest city. This is of no global significance and definitely unrelated to the burning of fossil fuels and the release of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere.

And here is one more man-made climate change: high cloudiness has increased significantly in the regions where there is an exceptional number of high flying jet aircraft on a continuous basis. Of all the man-made climate changes this may be the most significant. It is only recently been statistically proven.  It is somewhat regional in the plains states of the United States centered on Kansas.  The constant and increasing stream of high flying cross continental jet aircraft flights is filling the sky with contrails.  This pattern of high clouds is cooling temperatures a degree or two on average and probably reducing the number of showers and thunderstorms in the region.  All of this may have some impact on crop yields in the region. This is not a global weather crisis, not by a long shot.  It may not be a big deal.  But more study is merited.  And it is definitely not related to the burning of fossil fuels.

CONTRAILS

(I feel the need to add the point that contrails are a well understood, natural result of aircraft flying through a moist level in the upper atmosphere and are nothing more that clouds of water vapor.  The internet myth about Chemtrails is total folly. I am absolutely certain there is no such thing as Chemtrails.)

These and other minor climate changes resulting from mankind’s activities are well documented. However, none of these problems is devastating or a crisis. We are dealing with them and there is no need to become alarmed about them.

There is another aspect to the debate today. Al Gore lectures about how we human being are “spewing tons and tons of carbon into the atmosphere every day”. This is a totally irresponsible alarmist rant. In the United States we have utilized advanced science to refine our coal, oil and gas and the systems that burn it.  Our power plants, cars and aircraft produce a very limited amount of carbon particulates and ash. What is produced is a tiny amount compared to smog our furnaces powered by coal stokers and our old fashioned auto engines and primitive gasoline produced in the 1930’s and 40’s. And what reaches the air at this time, quickly falls to the ground.  Unfortunately, this is not true in China, India and elsewhere in the third world, where the advanced technology is ignored in the rush to produce desperately needed electricity and transportation.  However, on a worldwide basis, they are not producing a climate crisis.

What Al Gore is talking and greatly distorting in his holier-than-thou screaming is not carbon, even though that is the way he terms it to spread his alarmism.  What he is talking about is Carbon Dioxide.  Well is true that our burning of fossil fuels is sending millions of tons of carbon dioxide into the air. But is not causing any problem at all and it fact is creating a great deal of good. But Gore’s pontification is usually accompanied by a picture of a smoke stack belching heavy, dark smoke into the sky.

SMOKESTACKS

That is not carbon dioxide you see rising from those smoke stacks. It is largely harmless water vapor. There are probably some tiny particles of carbon in the plume. They will settle to the surface shortly or become the nucleus of rain drops. There may be some ash in the smoke. It, too, is essentially harmless. Mostly when you see a picture of dark smoke rising from a smoke stack these days it is because the Sun is on the other side of the plume of water vapor and it is creating a dark shadow. With today’s clean fuels and smoke scrubbers in the smoke stacks, very little pollution is being emitted. And our car engines today are very different than the smog belching crude devises of the 1940s. In our cars, we have replaced carburetors and spark plugs and added catalytic converters and reformulated the gasoline and now very little comes out of the exhaust pipe but some CO2 and water vapor.

Further discussion of this issue must begin with a definition of carbon dioxide. It is invisible. It is odorless. It is tasteless. And CO2 is essential for life on Earth, since all plant life requires CO2 for photosynthesis, the process by which it lives and grows. No CO2 would mean the planet would be barren and brown. So all animal life would perish of starvation and so would we human beings. Carbon Dioxide has always existed naturally in the atmosphere. So I don’t see any reasonable way to conclude that carbon dioxide which is essential for life and not producing climate change, is a pollutant. It simply is not a significant “greenhouse gas”.  In fact, the increase in CO2 in the atmosphere has essentially produced a fertilizing effect on all flora on the Earth.  Our planet is 20% greener than before we burned fossil fuels.  Crops are growing faster and producing more food.  The forests are bigger and healthier.  CO2 is good for our Earth.

But Al Gore, the Democrat Party and all of the professional societies and environmental groups are frantically trying to get us to stop producing it. This is the strangest distortion of science and reasonable judgment of my life time. And there seems to be no willingness to listen to opposing views. Never-the-less, I have dedicated the remaining years of my life to try to correct this horrible distortion of science.

Despite the reality, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency during the Obama years classified CO2 as a pollutant. And President Obama was setting out to authorize the EPA to start taxing our carbon footprints when his term in office stopped the process. So even if it is not causing climate change, we are told it is evil over and over again and soon may be forced to reduce our carbon footprints by phasing out our use of fossil fuels. And President Obama had committed to a National reduction of our so called “greenhouse emissions” by at least 20% within a decade.  All of this will be cancelled as the Trump Administration takes over the EPA.

Think about what we are doing with our fossil fuel burning civilization. We are lengthening the length of life of all us humans and animals by producing more plentiful food and for we human providing a far more wholesome civilized environment with better heating and air conditioning, better medical care and all the benefits of ample power and energy. In short, CO2 is making life good.

You should realize that the atmosphere of Earth is vast and amazingly self-cleansing. Earth’s atmosphere weighs about 11,700,000,000,000,000,000 pounds. So when our exhaust spews a few thousand tons of carbon dioxide into the air, it is a tiny contribution. After all these years of burning fossil fuels the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is still less than one half of one percent.

Since the air is not warming as predicted, climate alarmists recently have shifted to raising alarm about how the oceans are absorbing the CO2. They say it is making the oceans acidic. That is a gross, alarmist claim that is not validated by the data. The measurements show that the oceans are still very alkaline. The miniscule amount of CO2 being absorbed is not creating any problem except in the imaginations of some agenda driven scientists and environmentalists. Their claims about damage to the ocean sound a lot like the claims they used to make about melting polar ice and dying polar bears.

The alarmists say that “science has spoken” and “the debate is over” and “the issue is settled”. Global Climate Change, a NASA website, reports 97% of climate scientists agree that warming trends over the past century are very likely due to human activities. That 97% figure has been widely used by various climate alarmists and widely reported in the media. But an examination of the process through which that figure was calculated makes it clear it is not a valid statistic, only a manufactured number. And, remember that most scientists have been under great money pressure to support the global warming/climate change alarmist position. Their income and professional standing have been totally dependent on it. The new Administration will trim and cut those research dollars as best the Congress will allow and allocate some research money to balanced science which will most likely end up debunking climate change, coastal flooding, droughts, storms and heatwaves. The 97 percent statistic never was valid and it will become toast in the months to come.

So the climate change alarmists have dismissed those of us who are skeptics as “wackos” and “deniers”. This is very insulting, and not just to me, because I am not alone; not the only climate skeptic. There are thousands of men and women who stand up to the climate change media and political barrage. Many of them are as dedicated as I am to correcting the runaway bad science about CO2 as a significant greenhouse gas.

OREGON PETITION

Have you ever heard of the Oregon Petition? It debunks global warming/climate change with the following words “There is no convincing evidence that human release of carbon dioxide, methane or other greenhouse gasses is causing or will, in the foreseeable future, cause catastrophic heating of the Earth’s atmosphere and disruption of the Earth’s climate. Moreover, there is substantial scientific evidence that increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide produce many beneficial effects upon the natural plant and animal environments of the Earth.” Over 9,000 scientists holding Ph.D.’s and a total of over 31,000 scientists have signed that petition.

The Heartland Institute has brought climate skeptics together for Ten International Conferences on Climate Change. Great scientists from around the world gather for these occasions and present the results of their research that debunks the various aspects of the global warming. Heartland has placed videos of all those presentations on their website. I have been honored to speak at four of those conferences.  What a comfort it is to meet the Ph.D. scientists from Harvard, MIT, Princeton, UCLA, the Universities Virginia, Georgia, Alabama and Washington and from great international Universities and a host of others who have developed new evidence that there is no climate change crisis.  Heartland has just announced a 2017 conference in Washington DC  March 23rd and 24th. For details and registration information go to

https://www.heartland.org/news-opinion/news/press-release-heartland-institute-to-host-climate-conference-in-washington-dc-march-23-24

Heartland Institute has also organized a Nongovernmental Panel on Climate Change.  It has collected the papers from scientists from around the world and organized them into an impressive scientific book. The contents are also posted on the internet.

HEARTLAND CLIMATE CHANGE RECONSIDERED

So you can say “science has spoken” only if you are willing to discount, toss out, ignore and disrespect the thousands of scientist and their papers and articles, blogs and speeches that debunk the global warming theory.

More and more people, non-scientist citizens are understanding that there is no climate crisis. A survey by Pew Research showed that while 67 percent of Americans believed global warming is occurring and 44 percent said the earth is warming mostly because of human activity more than half of the people are not at all sure that mankind is producing climate change. But we skeptical spokespeople have to follow the media back roads of blog websites, You Tube, Facebook and Twitter, as well as conservative AM radio stations and occasional talks and speeches before community group meetings to get our story out. The mainstream media from the television networks and major stations and even most cable channels to most newspapers and magazines tend to give “the sky is falling” news releases by climate change alarmist major headline distribution but ignore the case set forth by the skeptics.

As for the movement to “break the addiction to burning oil, coal and gas” be very careful. If we cut off power generation by fossil fuels at this time, it will destroy our civilization and bankrupt us all. Many people say to me, perhaps you are correct about the science but the move to green energy is good thing. Why not let the government phase out our old fashioned fossil fuel power plants, heating systems and cars and trucks. I understand how they feel and I want them to understand that I am not against developing new fuels; not at all. But they must understand we are in no position to make that dramatic move at this time. The cost of pushing us faster than the scientists can come up with practical new power systems, is already damaging out way of life and threatens to bankrupt our civilization. We have to go slowly and since we are not harming our environment with our current fossil fuel power system, we should move ahead carefully.

The average American family of four is already paying an additional $1,200 a year for food, fuel and power as a result of the anti-fossil fuel initiatives. As the EPA carbon fees roll out and as coal powered electrical plants are shut down that cost per family is projected to increase to over $4.000 a year. That can be a very serious matter. For the poorer American families losing $4,000 a year would have a huge impact on their lives, healthcare for the, amount and quality of food, internet and smart phone access might be eliminated and in might cost the young people their higher education. All of this will a profound impact on the productivity of our nation. While the average person will not really understand what went wrong, everyone will suffer the consequences.

As an example consider this: the development of wind and solar (green energy) is costing us about 16 billion a year in subsidies and tax incentives and that is significantly harming our economy at this time. It would be very wise to drop or at least significantly trim back those subsidies and incentives and let our economy perk up.

But that doesn’t mean that fossil fuels will power our civilization forever. Remember that 90 percent of the scientist who ever lived are alive today. And many of them are probing every concept for a better way to power our civilization. One exciting new material that won the Nobel Prize for Physics in 2010 is graphene.

GRAPHENE

In about 30 years graphene solar panels will be 1,000 times more effective, and graphene batteries will be 1,000 times stronger. This means we will be able to turn off the power plants and shut down the power grid. Each home and business will easily produce all the power it needs.  Graphene solar powered cars will be big, heavy and fast.  Graphene systems will be used to desalinate ocean water cheaply. You may find this hard to believe, but to an older person such as myself who has watched science produce a multitude of things that were unbelievable in my youth, this is not unreasonable at all.  It will happen.

To learn more about Graphene you may want to watch my news report on a new wonder material .

Now back to the issue of Climate change.

Please understand that my stand on the climate change issue and my confidence in science to provide solutions within a few decades, does not mean that I am not dedicated to protecting our environment. To the contrary, I regard leaving a pristine planet Earth to our children and succeeding generations as our number one responsibility. Clean air and clean water and are basic. But please understand that exhausting CO2 (invisible, odorless, tasteless, vital to life) gas into the atmosphere is in no way damaging our environment. But I do feel strongly that we have a lot to do the clean up the waters on Earth.  There is no question they have been to dispose of trash and waste. And we need to encourage emerging civilizations to utilize our advanced systems for the clean burning of fossil fuels.

The bottom line is simply this: Climate is changing as it always has, mostly from natural forces. Our civilization is also changing the climate but not very much and only in very minor way and only in a few localized and regional areas. We are dealing with these little climate changes in a reasonable scientific way. No crisis is occurring and there is no reason to fear any in the future.

But on the whole we are doing a better and better job of protecting our Earth while living healthier, longer and far more comfortable lives. Every civilized human being now has as small advanced computer in his/her pocket or purse.  Vast knowledge is at our instant access.  As a result we are smarter and safer than ever. But for at least the next 30 years, fossil fuels will be required to power the system that feeds data and videos to these devises and makes amazing instant communication possible. We are now so well educated, I think everyone now understands s how absolutely essential it is to protect and improve our wonderful blue and now greener than ever before little marble, Earth. Let’s all work at that.

But in the meantime, Life is good.  Don’t live in fear of “climate change”. Live a life of joy and love. Despite all issues we work to solve remember please that most important thing we will ever learn is to love and be loved in return.

GREEN EARTH

MICHAEL CRICHTON

MICHAEL CRICHTON WAS A GREAT HERO OF MINE

THERE IS A VIDEO OF HIS GLOBAL WARMING

SKEPTICAL POSITION

The great author Michael Crichton made a powerful analysis of the unfounded hysteria behind the man-made global warming frenzy on video before his untimely death from cancer in 2008.  His novel “State Of Fear” had presented the issue very well.  Hollywood which had turned several of his earlier works into hit movies (Andromeda Strain, Sphere, Jurassic Park) turned it’s back on this book.  After all Hollywood loved Al Gore and his silly, totally scientifically invalid movie “An Inconvenient Truth”.  It seems the movie studio liberals never even considered for “State of Fear” for a film.

My four most recent videos:

(Below is another version of this essay written earlier)

AN ESSAY ABOUT CLIMATE CHANGE

By John Coleman

Professional member of the American Meteorological Society for many years

Awarded the AMS Award as Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year

First Weathercaster on ABC’s “Good Morning, America”

Founder of The Weather Channel.

Weather forecaster for over 60 years

Our wonderful civilization will come to an end as the result of man-made climate change.

WS2

That is the ultimate prediction of the most extreme of climate change fanatics. They predict that uncontrolled warming will lead to killer heat waves and endless droughts, the melting of the polar ice caps and all glaciers resulting in flooding of the coastal cities. Millions will die along with all of the polar bears. We also experience massive tornadoes and hurricanes.

All of these predictions are based on a failed scientific theory that is being perpetuated by agenda driven politicians, environmental wackos and money hungry scientists. The purpose of this essay is to lay out the true facts and explain how the failed theory continues to dominate scientific research of climate related issues and also dominates the media and controls public opinion and political actions.

The issue behind all this is “the greenhouse effect” of our atmosphere. The key atmospheric element in question is carbon dioxide.  And the big question about carbon dioxide is how strong of a greenhouse effect does it create as it interacts with water vapor in our atmosphere.

The amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere increases as a result of our burning of fossil fuels to power our civilization. When coal, oil, gasoline and natural gas are burned the primary exhaust gas is carbon dioxide (CO2). Since man-kind began to make significant use of fossil fuels 250 years ago the percentage of the atmosphere that is carbon dioxide has increased from about 250 parts per million to about 500 parts per million. So it still only a trace gas in the atmosphere, about one-half of one percent of the total. Since it is odorless, tasteless and invisible it seems as though it should not be a big deal. More than all of that, it has always been in the atmosphere and is essential to life on Earth. Carbon dioxide is required by all plant life (from weeds and grass to trees and all vegetables, fruits and crops) for their very life because it is the element they “breath in” in to power photosynthesis. Therefore, it is difficult to think of carbon dioxide as a problem, much less a pollutant. However, that is exactly the situation today.

Several scientists throughout history have speculated that increases in CO2 in the atmosphere could lead to a warming problem. Even Alexander Graham Bell raised the issue. It wasn’t seriously considered, however, until the 1950’s when our cities and towns were entrapped in “smog” from the burning of dirty coal in our stokers to heat the homes and from dirty automobile exhaust from the old fashioned engines burning poorly refined fuel. The exhaust pipes spewed out ash and particles of carbon. So when scientists raised the issue then, there was more concern. This led to intense efforts to improve fuels and engines. Step by step the pollution level improved until today our exhaust pipes and chimneys produce almost no pollution at all. But the amount of the invisible CO2 exhaust has continued to increase as the civilization continues to expand.

AL GORE

But then it happened. In the late 1960s one of the scientists who had done research on the impact of CO2 on temperatures lectured about the possible global warming problem in a class at Harvard University. Sitting in the front row of that class was student Albert Gore. Gore became greatly concerned about the problem and adopted it as a primary focus of his life. He was elected to the United States Congress and then the U.S. Senate. He wrote a book “Earth in the Balance” and began to chair Congressional hearings on the global warming issue. This led to dramatic increases in Federal funding for research of the global warming problem. University research groups and research institutions rushed in to submit piles of research proposals with the Government. The global warming frenzy had begun. After all, money is a powerful force. And since the money was only available for those who would further the global warming concern only one side of the issue was being studied.

All of this fired up the scientists to further examine the interaction between CO2 and water vapor to create warming.  Eventually they developed a scheme of interactions that leads to a greatly enhanced greenhouse effect that drives up temperatures to record levels. They produced computer models to prove their theories. Then other scientists were awarded funding to study to impact of this warming on a wide range of plants, insects and animals. We were told the ice caps were melting and the Polar Bears were dying, that bees were in great jeopardy, that corn and wheat and soy bean crops would have to move northward into less fertile soil and food shortages would develop. Every research project was accompanied by numerous press releases, interviews and videos. The media loved it all because “the sky is falling” is their favorite headline of all time.

As a result of all of the grants and papers and resulting news releases the people of the United States have been bombarded with global warming/climate change alarmism news reports for decades. No wonder that now a majority are concerned about the repeatedly detailed cataclysmic consequences that they media tells them lie ahead.

This situation certainly got my attention. I was a TV Meteorologist with many years of daily involvement in the weather. I was a Professional Member of The American Meteorological Society. I had forecast the weather for the entire nation every day for years as the first Weathercaster on “Good Morning, America” on ABC and as founder of “The Weather Channel”. So when I began to read about all of this in my professional journals and hear global warming talk in the newsrooms where I worked I was very interested in understanding what was going on. I began to study the issue and talk with other Meteorologists. As Science Reporter for the ABC Network I had covered the “coming ice age” story in the mid-70’s. That proved to be totally baseless and I had reported it as a highly questionable theory to the distress of my superiors who wanted me build up “the sky is falling” aspect of the story. After that experience I was motivated to study this issue thoroughly,  I was careful to re-examine every claim with skepticism. And, the more I studied, the more skeptical I became; again somewhat to the objection of my bosses.

Here is what I had learned:

WS3

  • There had been no direct measurement in the atmosphere that confirmed that carbon dioxide when interacting with water vapor becomes a significant greenhouse gas that produces unusual warming.

WS4

  • The computer models that were designed to prove the theory were simply loaded with the assumed “super” greenhouse effect.

WS5

  • The actual temperature measurement system had been adjusted three times by government agencies to make the past temperatures cooler and the recent temperatures warmer.

WS6

  • The measured temperatures were not warming at the rate predicted by the computer models.

I felt rather lonely with my skeptical position at first. But when I moved to San Diego in 1994 and joined a local independent TV station I was suddenly in a different professional environment, different from any I had seen in the previous 40 years. My skeptical stance was welcomed. I could report on my position on the TV Newscasts and cover it on the station’s website. The station’s owner, News Director and news anchors supported me.

OREGON PETITION

Then I discovered the Oregon Petition Project where other skeptical scientists were signing a petition confirming their skeptical position on global warming. Soon 31 thousand people, 9 thousand of them with Ph.D. after their names, had signed. I began to feel better. I established e-mail relationships with some of them.

Next my friends Joe D’Aleo (ICECAP)and Anthony Watts (WATTSUPWITHTHAT) launched skeptical websites. Others followed.

HEARTLAND INSTITUTE

And, then The Heartland Institute, a Chicago based think tank, organized an International Conference on Climate Change to give a platform to skeptical scientists from around the world. When I attended the first of these conferences and met these super sharp scientists from M.I.T., Harvard, The University of Virginia, The University of Alabama, UCLA and dozens of other universities, I felt great.

2009 ICCC
2009 ICCC

My skeptical position was confirmed over and over again by the research reports they brought to the conference. There was no doubt left in my mind. The global warming/climate change theory had failed and been proven wrong.

Yet, as you know, the climate change frenzy continues. The reason why is clear as a bell: Money. The Federal government is now paying out about 4.5 billion dollars a year in research grants. The science departments and research organizations continue to clamor for the money. And it is only granted to those who support the climate change position. And, mostly because Al Gore was a powerful force in the Democrat Party for many years, the issue has also become part of that party’s platform. Politics and money; what a power combination. We skeptics have our hands full.

I have produced videos debunking climate change and posted them on You Tube. I write the essays, such as this one, and post them on my little website. I make speeches where ever and whenever I am invited. Hundreds of others do the same. Heartland continues to sponsor International Conference every year or two. But try as we do, our efforts are small compared to the 4.5 billion dollars, the Democrat Party and the media. It is David against Goliath.

“So Mr. Coleman, please explain to me how it is that you know for certain that this theory has failed. And even if there is some question about whether the theory is correct or not, isn’t it taking a big chance to not cut back on greenhouse gasses? Shouldn’t we do it, just in case? Why don’t we cut back on carbon dioxide emissions as sort of an insurance policy, just in case they are right and you are wrong.” Whenever I speak before college student groups about the climate change issue, the above is the essence of the first question I am usually asked and it is usually cheered.

I understand that after decades of media coverage of global warming and its successor climate change and constant lecturing about it and the showing of the Al Gore Documentary “An Inconvenient Truth” over and over again in schools, that there is plenty of discomfort about the debunking of climate change by skeptics such as me. Our detractors often toss us in with the advocates of a flat Earth, chem-trails, flying saucer ET story tellers and those who think the NASA Moon landing was all made up. All I can ask is that you try to think about this essay with an open mind, then do what additional checking you are motivated to do. I am certain that if you are open minded you will realize that based on everything we know right now there is no significant man-made climate change now and no reason to expect any in the future. Once you take that position, please join us in trying to change public opinion and government policies.

And please understand that cutting emissions “just in case as a sort of insurance policy” is not a good idea, either. For the next generation of youngsters, that could be a horribly expensive insurance policy. Our government’s global warming actions are already costing the average American family of four about $1,400 a year in increased costs for food and energy and taxes. For those kids that can mean less health care or healthy food, no internet connection or no computer. Or it might come out of their college funds. And the added cost of food and energy for those in the third world nations could actually lead to the death for untold millions. I don’t think we should “buy the insurance”.

Despite this issue, please never lose sight of this: The most important thing you will ever learn is to love and be loved in return.